Monday, August 31, 2009

Pattern Update for the first week of September 2009


NAO expected to remain positive over the next week before heading back towards neutral by the end of the period.

PNA is expected to be positive over the next 4 days before once again going back to neutral.

EPO is expected to be neutral pretty much through out the period...

So what this tells me is that over the next 3-4 days that the east coast and the northeast is going to be under the influence of troughing. There after the PNA drops to neutral and this indicates that the troughing will lift out of the area. This troughing may not lift completely out of the area but it should flatten out..Meanwhile ridging should build in from the east and push towards the west. 
Now, majority of times ridging this time of the year will not result in the same type of warmth and humidity that the previous warm episode had. However..i think this ridging will be strong enough to influence the weather and its temperatures along the east coast. 
So this is what I am expecting over the next seven days temperature wise..
Now thru about the next three days , pretty much all regions will be below normal but each day should see an increase in temps slowly..Beyond three days..temperatures should average seasonal to slightly above for daytime highs across the eastern seaboard..slightly inland to seasonal to slightly below west of that region.

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