The above once again is based off a blend of the latest NAM/SREF. So lets turn to look at the severe parameters for tomorrow.
CAPE is 500-3500 depending on where you live..
Lift index is 0 to –8 depending on where you live
SWEAT is greatest at 400 above from OK Northeast into Missouri heading towards the Mich area.
EHI is around 1 in West cental Missouri So this would probably be the greatest region to see a isolated tornado –though anywhere in the SWEAT area above 400 could see a potential of an isolated tornado. Since the EHI is not really that impressive it should be a main wind and or hail threat with any severe storms.
As of 8 PM cold front will be relatively over SW PA stretching back to the SW to a low pressure area over Kansas and then stretching across SNE to a low pressure N of Maine. This cold front will drop thru overnight and a low pressure should develop over E CA which may enhance showers across the region overnight into SE PA.
By 8 AM low pressure over KS will start to live ENE and be located over Iowa..this will lift a warm front thru the region and bring once again a chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Over western PA the parameters are not all that impressive nor into PA itself so in this area expect nothing more then garden variety type thunderstorms with rain…
Stay tuned for more information if needed
No comments:
Post a Comment