Thursday, June 2, 2011

Wash , Rinse & Repeat June 8-10th

If the latest guidance is any indication it looks like we could be doing a wash , rinse and repeat weather pattern. What exactly do I mean by that? Well lets turn once again to the latest guidance from 12 Z…

Caution must be used because we are talking about something in the 6-7 day range time frame.

12zeuro850mbTSLPNA144

Notice trough over the Northeast..lower heights on the west coast and in between another heat ridge.

12zeuro850mbTSLPNA168

By 168 hours that ridge is firmly in place across the east and there is a low pressure also into the Northeast. Now watch what happens 24 hrs later.

12zeuro850mbTSLPUS192

Much lower heights across the Northern Mid Atlantic into the Northeast! Temperatures go from 80-90 range the previous day to the 60-70 range in a 24 hr period.

This is once again indication of a very powerful cold front moving thru the region.

GFS is in relative agreement but it seems to be a little slower with the system and does not quite bring the heat into the region as compared to the ECM.

12zgfs850mbTSLPNA144

12zgfs850mbTSLPNA168

12zgfs850mbTSLPNA192

Being this is in a 6-7 day range it is too early to say which model guidance is more correct but verification records indicate that the ECM is the better performing model. Plenty of time to monitor the situation , however it pretty much seems like its going to be another wash rinse and repeat scenario where temperatures are going to take a turn for the hot and humid side & with a powerful cold front coming across the region it would be like lighting a Keg of Dynamite!

Stay tuned for more information on this upcoming potential!

No comments:

Post a Comment