Several pieces of energy area over the Rocky Mountains with a cold front stretching north into Canada to a low pressure area in central canada and a warm front extends south from this same low in canada.
This warm front will be pushing towards the east during the day tomorrow while the pieces of energy over the Rocky Mountains move towards the ENE. So that by tomorrow evening low pressure will be over Central Minnesota which will drag a cold front across in its wake. This frontal system and the associated low pressure system and trough will be the focus for severe weather.
Further to the south in the SE these storms could result because of a stationary front along with the daytime heating.
Severe Weather Parameters
CAPE is around 500-5000 depending where you are located
Lift Index is 0 to – 10 depending where you are located
SWEAT index is below:
EHI is above 1 from Wisconsin into Upper Michigan. These locations are also showing decent SWEAT as indicated above so there is the potential for a few tornado’s in the super cellular storm mode. The main threats though should be large hail and damaging winds in excess of 60 MPH.
Across locations like Ohio, Indiana and Illinois..while there is some decent parameters in place..Models are actually showing a lack of low level moisture. So it is quite possible that this region could remain CAPPPED all day. However..if the CAP were to break with the parameters in place then we would be looking at the potential for severe so they have been included in the zone outlook.
Stay tuned for further information should it become necessary!
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