Still in the camp that this does not make it much stronger then a Tropical Depression. There is a chance that it might not make that category even but will go ahead and put the strength expected at a Tropical Depression before landfall again in the SE tip of Louisiana which is where the broad circulation is due east of.
Shear currently is 10 knots to as much as 30 knots across the GOM. Over the system itself 10-20 knots as of 15 Z Data. Divergence is relative good across the area but the system remains outside of the best convergence area.
Radar shows rain associated with this system but the majority of that rain right now is out over the GOM. No really strong convection either is showing up.At the moment this looks more like a low pressure system with some steady rain involved with it.
As for movement generally expected it to continue moving off to the west, then eventually turning more to the west northwest and making landfall in SE Lousianna sometime between the period of monday evening to tuesday evening...
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