Real Wx Services: A correction to the last post for the 20-22nd

Sunday, January 16, 2011

A correction to the last post for the 20-22nd

A correction to the last post for the 20-22nd for the ECM means…

There is a storm (weak) off of Hatteras ..however it is well south and east..

Apparently when i made the update last night..the computer had old images stored in my CACHE & hence the reason for older images.

Refer you to HPC for the following:

VERY POOR MODEL AND RUN TO RUN AGREEMENT THIS FORECAST PERIOD. ALL
OPERATIONAL MODEL FORECASTS ARE SUSPECT.

Virtually no changes from the previous thoughts though. There are still two scenarios on the table..One suppression or two an East Coast Storm with suppression at this time being the most likely!

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Down to Earth Forecasting is a concept that I have created. Its a concept that bases forecasts of the weather on actual analysis of the weather models, patterns, signals, analogs etc. It does not tolerate wishcasting or hypecasting. Its goal is to provide forecasts that are 100% honest as well as, forecasts that are as close to accurate as possible!
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