Friday, September 24, 2010

5 AM Update On TS Matthew!

AOI3_ir_loop

As we had pointed out before NHC..the convection did argue that the call at 5 AM could go either way and the pressure has dropped to 1000 mbs and the winds have increased to 50 MPH. So some slight strengthening did occur.

15L

Also as we pointed out the center is indeed on the eastern side of the convection and is somewhat partially exposed.

Matthew also continues to race off to the west and landfall looks to be in 24 hrs or less according to NHC and meanwhile R.W.S is sticking with the time frame of 12 hrs or less..unless a slowdown does indeed occur.

The forecast from NHC is no longer calling for this to become a hurricane but rather remain a tropical storm. Though i believe they were correct in leaving the option possible that it may still become a minimal hurricane but again I  think that Matthew is running out of time before it hits land.

Regardless, heavy rains , winds and flooding with landslides are a real potential as this moves into Central America.

Current philosophy and thoughts previously posted have not changed!

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