Is there any question now?

Alright lets look back at some things:

TROPICAL STORM NICOLE ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL     AL162010
1100 AM EDT WED SEP 29 2010
 
...DEPRESSION BECOMES A TROPICAL STORM...CENTER STILL NEAR CENTRAL
CUBA...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.6N 80.6W
ABOUT 120 MI...195 KM ESE OF HAVANA CUBA
ABOUT 260 MI...420 KM SW OF NASSAU
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.41 INCHES

 

A depression becomes a tropical storm would indicate a strengthening storm. Nevermind the fact that this pronouncement occurred while over land. No matter where it occurred it indicates strenthening…

Then just three hours later…

TROPICAL STORM NICOLE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   5A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL162010
200 PM EDT WED SEP 29 2010
 
...CIRCULATION OF NICOLE BECOMING POORLY DEFINED...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.5N 80.6W
ABOUT 80 MI...130 KM NE OF HAVANA CUBA
ABOUT 225 MI...365 KM SW OF NASSAU
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.41 INCHES

 

Center becoming poorly defined..

Next the 5 PM advisory..

TROPICAL STORM NICOLE DISCUSSION NUMBER   6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL162010
500 PM EDT WED SEP 29 2010
 
SATELLITE...AIRCRAFT...AND SURFACE DATA SHOW THAT THE CIRCULATION OF
NICOLE HAS BECOME ELONGATED THIS AFTERNOON.  THE CENTER...
WHICH WAS NEVER VERY WELL DEFINED...HAS BECOME UN-TRACKABLE AND
THIS WILL BE THE LAST NHC ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM. 

 

Here we see a center which was never well defined mentioned.. but wait a second…

TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN DISCUSSION NUMBER   1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL162010
1100 AM EDT TUE SEP 28 2010
 
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE LOW
PRESSURE AREA OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA HAS ACQUIRED A
SUFFICIENTLY WELL-DEFINED CENTER OF CIRCULATION AND ORGANIZED DEEP
CONVECTION TO BE CLASSIFIED AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE.

That is not what was stated when you upgraded this to a tropical depression.

So which is it? 

1 A very well defined center 

Or 

2. Never had a well defined center

A contradiction and a conflict of statements here. 

How does a strengthening storm just suddenly dissipate? How can you have a well defined center and then say it was never well defined? 

This is a clear case in my opinion of NHC padding the figures. In other words..lets name this storm because we went with 14-23 named storms and we are not sure if there is going to be anything coming after this. At least this way we hit 14. 

Yes I truly believe this to be the case. This storm should never have been named.

Regardless of the blunder above. R.W.S has been adamantly clear that it was not NICOLE or a tropical cyclone that would be coming up the east coast but instead a baroclinic low that would develop and move along the front up the coast.

This is why we have never believed the hype of a superstorm moving up the coast.  This is why we never believed it would be a tropical cyclone moving up the coast. An area of low pressure does not always mean or represent a tropical cyclone.

Take it 5 days at a time and you will be ok! 

Will be issuing a rainfall map this evening…