Slow development has been the key to this system pretty much as has been discussed over the past several days. It took all of yesterday for IGOR to become a CAT 1 hurricane which occurred at 11 PM. Since that time IGOR pretty much has been maintaining his intensity level with the pressure as of 6 Z being 992 MBS and 65 KT.
Pretty much we maintained the status that if IGOR could shake lose the shear and the dry air that he should start to intensify and that has been the case.
The eyewall is somewhat open on the NW side and it appears as if IGOR is moving swiftly off to the west. Still feel that his forward speed could help to cause this development to be a little slower then if he were moving a little slower.
Nevertheless, shear is currently 5-10 knots with 20 over the extreme southern part of the system. Convergence is decent as well as divergence across the system.
Models basically continue to show a west to west northwest track with this going safely to the north of the islands.
All models are pretty insistent on this not effecting the east coast and that has been the stance from Real Wx Services from the beginning of tracking this system.
Unless things change between now and 5 AM which is the next update from the National Hurricane Center we should still be at 65 KT and 992 MBS.
About 24 hrs from now I will issue the first tracking chart that will cover 120 hours out. The next update will be tomorrow around noon time less conditions warrant between now and then.
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