Tropical Depression #16 continues to remain disorganized with the greatest convection still displaced well to the south and east of the system.
When looking at the IR loop above..it almost appears as the greatest convection is moving more to the east while the COC is heading NE and currently over Cuba.
The system is still lacking any type of real convergence and divergence and the best is still to the NE off the SE coastline.
Shear continues to be around 10-20 knots and in its pathway still lies a wall of even higher shear.
Voriticity also continues to be quite broad..
The above is latest image from the most current radar loop and it shows that moisture is already effecting SE FL. With the center of the system passing along the eastern coast of Fl..the greatest winds with the system will actually not effect the state of Florida for they will remain for the most part off shore.
So the greatest concern out of this is going to be the heavy rains that it will be providing.
For further east up the coast a new baroclinal low pressure area will develop and move up along the coast and this will bring some heavy rains up over the eastern seaboard over the upcoming few days..
Again, however..what will be coming up the coast will not be tropical in any sense of the word but it will be a heavy rain maker with some gusty winds as well but the main story will be the rain.
This will NOT be a superstorm but rather a baroclinic low pressure that follows along a stalled out frontal boundary that will move tropical moisture along that boundary!
The window of opportunity for this to become a named system is slowly winding down. There appears no indication that this is getting its act together as the pressure is still 997 mbs at 6 Z and 30 KTs..
Stay tuned for further updates!
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