The above image is actually from 00z and at the time the low pressure was 1000mbs and that is what the model runs also initiated at as well.
However, since that time this is the latest conditions for 3 Z
Two things to notice. Cold front getting closer and also the pressure is now up 4 mbs to 1004. So at this moment we really do not have any strengthening occurring with this system.
Shear is currently 10-20 knots across the system. The vorticity continues to be stretched out, large and elongated..
And while there is some weak convergence, the divergence is still lacking with the system.
So at the moment this system is not really getting any better organized and while models do show this coming up the east coast this is almost certainly going to be a hybrid system and not a tropical storm or hurricane.
The main threat appears as though it will be heavy rain from this system…
We will continue to monitor this system and keep you informed of the latest because there is alot of hype out on the net!
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