Tropical Depression # 16

As was stated last night I would not be surprised if NHC ended up classifying this as a Tropical Depression.

The first image is a recent visible shot. followed by a IR loop and then followed by a water vapor loop. If you look in the upper left hand corner of the image you will be able to see the center of circulation which is exposed.

As of 15 Z the system is still lacking convergence while there is some weak divergence.

While there is deep convection it is well displaced from the core of the system off to the east and the SE , As this system starts to gain in latitude it will take on extratropical transitioning rather quickly. With having to cross across CUBA this should prevent any real strengthening from occurring despite the warmer waters and pass just over the eastern coast of FL or right off shore as it moves NE and then transitions energy to a new low closer to the coast..and that new low will move up along the coast.

With the closeness to Cuba and the transitioning to a extratropical storm this should not have much time to become anything more then a minimal tropical storm.

However, as it moves further north it will deepen and will provide heavy rains to the north of the center and gusty winds to the east..however at this point it will no longer be tropical.