The above image is the latest invest 97 L and the image below is the Atlantic Wide View water vapor loop to show the broad picture and to show just how broad and large this next invest actually is.
Shear is anywhere from as low as 5 knots across the area to as much as 20 knots across the southern part of the invested system.
There is strong divergence occurring with the system ..however..convergence is lacking at the present time.
Now at 2 AM ..NHC had this area that is showing as being an invest at only a 10 % chance of developing and the area further behind at 20 % . However..you can see that according to the NAVY site ..the invest is actually the first area. However..it appears rather complicated as one loops the water vapor image it appears as if the two separate areas are merging together.
It also appears that when you loop the water vapor image above that the northern side of the system is getting sheared off. The system is generally heading towards the WNW.
Due to the large size of the system it should have a rather difficult time tightening up and any development of this will be slow to occur.
We will continue to monitor this developing situation but we wanted to break the news on this out in a timely manner.
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